March 9th, 2010

- The rush of conference awards are rolling in… here are some conference POYs that were announced on Monday: James Anderson, Oklahoma State (Big 12); Jerome Randle, California (Pac-10); Evan Turner, Ohio State (Big 10); Darington Hobson, New Mexico (Mtn West); Kevin Anderson, Richmond (A10). As for conference COY: Matt Painter, Purdue (Big Ten); Steve Alford, New Mexico (Mtn West); Herb Sendek, Arizona State (Pac-10), Frank Martin, Kansas State (Big 12), Fran Dunphy, Temple (A10). The ACC, Big East and SEC are expected to announce their choices on Tuesday.
- At the national level, The Sporting News has selected Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim as its national COY, and has listed their all-americans. Their first team has five guards on it — John Wall, Kentucky (also FrOY); Greivis Vasquez, Maryland; Evan Turner, Ohio State; Scottie Reynolds, Villanova; James Anderson, Oklahoma State. Of course, we think that’s cheating, and RTC will have its position-specific AA team later this week. Watch for it.
- Next year’s Coaches vs. Cancer Classic will feature Pittsburgh, Maryland, Texas and Illinois as the four regional hosts who are slotted into the semifinals at Madison Square Garden the week before Thanksgiving. This could be a very interesting and talented field if the majority of underclassmen on these teams decide to stick around, as they should. Maryland and Texas lose some key pieces in Vasquez, Milbourne, James and Pittman, respectively, but there are a bunch of really good underclassmen on all of these teams.
- Talk about really early entry. Seattle University’s Charles Garcia is wasting absolutely no time in declaring his intention to go pro this spring. Seattle is an Independent, so their season is now over unless the Redhawks are invited to one of the lower postseason tournaments such as the CBI or CIT. What is most notable about Garcia aside from his 19/8 scoring/rebounding average is his ability to draw fouls from the defense. Garcia picks up an astonishing 10.6 fouls per game on his defenders, which as you may imagine, puts the 6′9 forward at the line nearly ten times per game.
- As always, here’s some great analytical work from Vegas Watch, who takes an alternative (and much more defensible) approach to seeding the field of 65. Keep fighting the good fight, VW, with logic, reason and most importantly, data.
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Regular Features, morning 5 | Tagged: a10, arizona st, big 10, big 12, california, charles garcia, coaches vs. cancer, conference coys, conference poys, darington hobson, evan turner, fran dunphy, frank martin, greivis vasqeuz, herb sendek, illinois, james anderson, jerome randle, jim boeheim, john wall, kansas st, kentucky, kevin anderson, maryland, matt painter, mountain west, nba draft, new mexico, ohio st, oklahoma st, pac-10, pittsburgh, purdue, richmond, scottie reynolds, seattle, steve alford, syracuse, temple, texas, villanova |
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Posted by rtmsf
March 8th, 2010

The End of the Regular Season. Since there was so much going on this weekend, we’re going to separate today’s ATB into two separate posts. This post exclusively covers the major conference teams, none of whom have gotten to the postseason portion of their schedules yet. We’ll also have another ATB tonight that solely focuses on the mid-major conference tournaments — that post is here.
It’s Kyle Kuric’s World, We’re Just Living In It. Louisville 78, #1 Syracuse 68. Rick Pitino loves these games, as it takes him back to the early days of his coaching career as the underdog at Providence or his early probation-era Kentucky teams. With a possible NCAA bid on the line and the air filled with the pomp and circumstance of the closing of Freedom Hall, the Cards found the unlikeliest of heroes in the second half after guard Jerry Smith hurt his thumb and had to leave the game. A little-used sophomore by the name of Kyle Kuric who had logged eight scoreless games this season found a groove from seemingly everywhere on the court. Dunks, threes, rebounds, assists, you name it — Kuric did it. He scored all 22 of his points in the second half, including a stretch of four treys in five minutes that gave Louisville some breathing room as Syracuse kept going inside to their big men. It was an unbelievable performance that you have to figure will never be duplicated in that young man’s career. With the win, Louisville moved into the #6 seed in the Big East Tournament and will await the winner of Cincinnati and Rutgers on Wednesday. As for Syracuse, we’re not going to read much into this loss on the road where UL was playing for everything and Jim Boeheim’s team was playing for nothing, but it should be noted that the Cardinals defeated the Orange twice this year, and the Cuse only lost three times. The way that the Cardinal players attacked the SU zone in the two wins should be Cliff Notes material for every team that the Orange faces the rest of the way. You have to have athletes who understand good offensive spacing, and it doesn’t hurt to have a Kyle Kuric draining everything he throws up, but it can certainly be done.

Think Louisville's Next Opponent Might Scout Him? (C-J/S. Upshaw)
KU Hangover. Iowa State 85, Kansas State 82 (OT). This is why we’re not sold on K-State as a Final Four contender this year. Mere days after getting run out of the gym against rival Kansas in the Phog, we would expect a top five team to rebound at home on Senior Day to obliterate a vastly inferior team like Iowa State. Instead what we got was an uninspired performance by Frank Martin’s team that included poor shooting (34% FG and 3-23 from three) and even worse decision-making. Often the K-State players decided on a forced shot when there were better opportunities available, and it showed as Denis Clemente and Jacob Pullen combined for 11-38 from the field (3-21 from three). ISU led for most of the game, but when Kansas State finally tied it up in the last minute, you figured that the better team would eventually pull it out. Didn’t happen. There’s an element of undisciplined and scattered play that we’ve repeatedly noticed in the KSU attack this year, and while the Wildcats are definitely a dangerous team, Martin agrees that his team is not yet at a championship level of play. It will be interesting to see how a team that doesn’t have a lot of postseason success to hang its hat on will handle going into the Big 12 Tournament next week as the #2 seed.
Quincy Acy, Dunking Machine. We had to mention this because we’re not sure we’ve ever heard of such a thing. In Baylor’s win against Texas on Saturday, forward Quincy Acy had 24 points on 12-15 shooting, an amazing ten of which were on dunks. Acy is a very nice swing player, but it’s not like he’s Shaq or Dwight Howard standing in the paint all night. How a single player can throw down that many dunks, many of which were earth-shaking in force, is as indicative as anything that Texas’ defense has checked out for the season.

Acy is a Raging Dunkaholic (AP/M. Bancale)
Conference Recaps. As of tonight, there’s only one regular season game left (Penn-Princeton), and it’s meaningless to the national picture, although certainly important to fans of that rivalry. Let’s recap how the final weekend of the regular season shaped up in the major conferences.
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Regular Features, after the buzzer | Tagged: acc, baylor, big 10, big 12, big east, denis clemente, frank martin, iowa st, jacob pullen, jerry smith, kansas st, kyle kuric, louisville, pac-10, quincy acy, rick pitino, sec, syracuse, texas, villanova, west virginia |
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Posted by rtmsf
March 5th, 2010

Close Calls. In two closer-than-expected games, #12 Michigan State and #18 Pittsburgh held on to their positions in the Big Ten and Big East, respectively, with quite a bit still on the line. For MSU, it’s a shot at a shared Big Ten regular season title; for Pitt, it was a double-bye in the Big East Tournament next week.
- #18 Pittsburgh 73, Providence 71. In a closely contested game throughout, it was Ashton Gibbs who saved Pittsburgh from what would have been their worst loss of the season at full strength (the IU loss in December was without several players). With 3.5 seconds remaining, Gibbs (25/4/3 assts) received the ball at the right hash mark on the opposite end of his basket, took two dribbles before stopping and pulling up from about 28 feet to drain a game-winning three at the horn. The bucket moved the Panthers to 12-5 in the Big East, and with a win over Rutgers this weekend in combination with a Villanova loss to WVU, the preseason-unranked kids from the Steel City would be the #2 seed in next week’s Big East Tournament. Simply amazing considering the talent in that league this year.

Ashton Gibbs: "I Got This." (PPG/M. Freed)
- #12 Michigan State 67, Penn State 65. We’re really not going to fall into this trap that Tom Izzo likes to set for us seemingly every year. His teams always win a bunch of games, but many of those wins seem to come by a mere point or two, and they also lose a few more than you might expect. Then the Spartans get into the NCAA Tournament and the very same players who were somewhat underwhelming during the regular season put it all together for another run to the Final Four. So we’ll reserve judgment on this year’s MSU team until we see what happens later this month. Tonight Penn State had the ball with five seconds remaining but they were unable to get a shot off to win or tie the game. With the win, MSU moves to 13-4 in the Big Ten and the Spartans will host rival Michigan this weekend to try to tie Ohio State (and possibly Purdue) for the top record in the league.
Should Washington Join the Bubble Conversation Along With Ole Miss, Dayton and Arizona State?
- Washington 86, Oregon 72. With an RPI of #53, twenty wins, and a better strength of schedule than its bubble peers Mississippi State and Virginia Tech, shouldn’t the Huskies at least be in the conversation? They’ve beaten Texas A&M, Portland and Cal, which is a resume of quality Ws at least as good as Mississippi State (best win: Old Dominion), Dayton (best win: Xavier) and Virginia Tech (best win: Clemson). We’re well aware how down the Pac-10 has been this year, but just because everyone has already seemed to decide that it’s a one-bid league shouldn’t make it necessarily so. The resumes need to speak for themselves, and we’re having trouble understanding the difference between the above teams. Quincy Pondexter had 34/10/6 assts in tonight’s win.
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Regular Features, after the buzzer | Tagged: arizona st, ashton gibbs, big 10, big east, dayton, jamie dixon, michigan st, mississippi st, ohio st, ole miss, penn st, pittsburgh, providence, purdue, talor battle, tom izzo, washington |
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Posted by rtmsf
March 1st, 2010
Only one more of these after this week, and then unlike our football counterparts, they become completely irrelevant. Analysis after the jump…

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Regular Features, blogpoll | Tagged: acc, atlantic 10, big 10, big 12, big east, conference usa, georgetown, horizon, kansas, kentucky, maryland, mountain west, northern iowa, purdue, richmond, sec, syracuse, texas, texas a&m, utep, wcc, xavier |
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Posted by rtmsf
February 8th, 2010
It’s a new week and we’re back with a new Top 25 poll. The usual analysis after the jump…

Note that this week Rob Dauster of BiaH is filling in for one or usual pollsters.
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Regular Features, blogpoll | Tagged: acc, atlantic 10, big 10, big 12, big east, gonzaga, horizon, kansas, mountain west, mvc, sec, syracuse, texas a&m, wake forest, wcc, wisconsin |
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Posted by rtmsf
February 8th, 2010

- Want to know what’s wrong with UNC this year? One ACC coach laid out all of the dirty laundry about Roy Williams’ team in an interview with the Washington Post. Since the coach was speaking as someone who had faced Carolina once already this season, and the article came out Saturday morning, this means that it was one of the following four: Seth Greenberg (Virginia Tech), Paul Hewitt (Georgia Tech), Oliver Purnell (Clemson), Sidney Lowe (NC State) or Dino Gaudio (Wake Forest). Lowe lost to the Heels in their only game and Gaudio still seems too new to make those kinds of statements about that program, even anonymously. That leaves Greenberg, Hewitt and Purnell, and our money is on Greenberg. For some reason it just sounds like him (and the WaPo probably has a closer relationship with him than the others).
- Florida State announced on Sunday that they will be vacating wins from ten sports that involved 61 athletes accused of academic misconduct during the 2006-07 academic year. Most of the news will focus on football coach Bobby Bowden losing 12 wins from his career total, but of interest to us is that the basketball program will lose all 22 of its wins from that year as well — one from the ACC Tourney, and two from the NIT.
- Based on everything that Isiah Thomas says here about his lack of interest in the LA Clippers job, we fully expect him to see him stalking the sidelines (and the interns!) at the Staples Center next season.
- NCAA 96: a voice of reason on expansion of the NCAA Tournament from an unlikely source, the Commissioner of the Big Ten, Jim Delaney. The key takeaway from his discussion with TSN is ‘let’s learn more about this.’ Exactly. The more time spent talking to stakeholders as well as THE FANS is simple but seemingly missing from this idea — it helps to remove avarice from the equation and gives reasoned consideration to the premise that just because an idea will be profitable makes it a good thing.
- Pat Forde writes that if the COY award were handed out today, there would be no doubt who should win it – Jim Boeheim. He won’t get any argument from us. Syracuse received 83 votes in the preseason AP Poll (good for 31st) and 111 votes in the ESPN/Coaches Poll (25th). The Orange are now 23-1, leading the Big East Conference, and could potentially be Boeheim’s best team ever. That’s right. Look through this list and find a better team. It’s hard to do.
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Regular Features, morning 5 | Tagged: big 10, coaching carousel, fiu, florida st, isiah thomas, jim boeheim, jim delaney, ncaa expansion, ncaa violations, roy williams, syracuse, unc |
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Posted by rtmsf
February 1st, 2010
A good discussion on twitter today about how to rank the top four (all one-loss) teams. Here’s our version, with analysis after the jump:

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Regular Features, blogpoll | Tagged: acc, atlantic 10, baylor, big 10, big 12, big east, butler, florida st, georgia tech, horizon, kansas, kansas st, mississippi, mississippi st, missouri, missouri valley, mountain west, northern iowa, sec, uab, wake forest, wcc |
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Posted by rtmsf
January 29th, 2010

Will the Least Ugly Team Please Stand Up? #12 Purdue 60, #16 Wisconsin 57. This was your typically ugly conference season Big Ten game; you know, the kind that makes you wonder why you started watching the game in the first place. But in a battle for standing as to who will be the team to challenge Michigan State if/when they falter, it was Matt Painter’s Boilermakers who protected their home court tonight against Wisconsin (36-2 at Mackey against the Badgers) and pulled a victory out of the slugfest. Purdue got 20/4 from E’Twaun Moore (including the game-winner with 25 seconds left), 12/13 from Robbie Hummel and was happy to see injured point guard Lewis Jackson back on the court even though he only played twelve minutes and contributed two points. He’s the true PG that Moore and Chris Kramer are not, and it stands to reason that the Boilermakers will be a better team in the long run with Jackson back in action. On the Wisconsin side, Keaton Nankivil blew up for 25/8 on 7-8 shooting from three, almost singlehandedly keeping the Badgers in the game at certain points. Therefore, it was interesting that Trevon Hughes (9/4 on 3-11 FGs) got the ball with Wisconsin down one point and he missed a short runner that would have won the game. Purdue’s JaJuan Johnson was benched for being late, yet he came off the pine to contribute 14/3. As we’ve discussed before, Purdue is a much better team when Johnson is scoring and boarding, so it’s a testament to the quality of the Boilermaker defense that he was kept relatively in check tonight. Both of these teams, along with Ohio State and Illinois, now have three losses in the Big Ten, and while none may catch Michigan State, they’re all vying for position in the #2 through #5 spots. With Purdue and Wisconsin splitting their season series, it may come down to who has the easier schedule over the next four weeks, and from our viewpoint that team is Purdue (Indiana and Penn State twice, as well as Iowa once).

Moore Hits the Game Winner (AP/Michael Conroy)
The Courtney Fortson Show. Arkansas 67, Mississippi State 62. In an otherwise ugly game with about seventeen people in the stands due to inclement weather in NW Arkansas, Courtney Fortson and his braids pulled off their best Devan Downey impression tonight with a 33-point second half that matched the visiting Bulldogs point-for-point. He ended with a career-high 35/7/4 assts and even found time to have a mini-altercation with his coach during the outburst, and this will undoubtedly be one of the highlights of a disappointing season in Fayetteville. Mississippi State couldn’t buy a bucket for much of this one (31% FGs, 19% 3FGs), but they still could have won the game deep into the second half had they merely been able to get a handle on Fortson. They never did, and recently ranked MSU has now lost two in a row and really hasn’t played a strong game in three weeks. You have to wonder if all the hubbub over Renardo Sidney (is he in? is he out?) might be weighing upon them a little bit. Their defense has remained consistently good, but the offense is just not producing enough good shots for talents like Jarvis Varnado and Dee Bost. With the loss by MSU, Vanderbilt and Kentucky remain as the only two teams in the SEC with one loss or fewer in conference play.
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Regular Features, after the buzzer | Tagged: arkansas, big 10, courtney fortson, e'twaun moore, jajuan johnson, keaton nankivil, mississippi st, purdue, robbie hummel, trevon hughes, wisconsin |
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Posted by rtmsf
January 19th, 2010
Now that we’re starting to get into the meat of the college basketball conference we are starting to get quality games on a regular basis which means that we will be having the return of our regular feature. There isn’t a “blockbuster” game tonight like Texas-Kansas State, but there are 3 games that feature potential NCAA tournament teams matching up against each other that are worth keeping an eye on while you try to catch up on the last two hours of 24.
Northwestern at #25 Ohio State at 7 PM on Big Ten Network: This is clearly a big game for both teams. As has you may have heard (from basically every site covering college basketball) Northwestern has never made the NCAA tournament, but despite the loss of Kevin Coble the Wildcats are firmly on the bubble this year. A victory over Evan Turner and the Buckeyes in Columbus would be a big boost following their upset win at home over a Purdue team that is rapidly falling apart (more on this in a bit). To knock off the Buckeyes in Columbus (where they are undefeated this season), they will need big games from John Shurna (16.8 PPG and 7.1 RPG) and Michael Thompson (14.4 PPG and 4.4 APG with a 2.7 to 1 assist to TO ratio). The key for Thad Matta’s squad will be Evan Turner being Evan Turner (my choice for national POY) and someone else (David Lighty, Jon Diebler, or William Buford–all averaging 13.3 PPG) helping him out so the Wildcats can’t throw double teams at Turner all night. As much as the Northwestern story intrigues us, we suspect that tonight will not help their case as The Villain and the Buckeyes should be able to hold on for the win, but given what happened this weekend a Big Ten upset wouldn’t shock us.
#16 Clemson at #18 Georgia Tech at 7 PM on ESPN2 and ESPN360.com: For the Duke haters out there, this game could be viewed as a match-up of the two teams most likely to challenge the Blue Devils in the ACC this season (we’re almost ready to give up on UNC this season). Paul Hewett‘’s Yellow Jackets have been maddeningly inconsistent alternating between wins against Duke and UNC and losses against Georgia and Virginia. Meanwhile, Oliver Purnell’s Tigers have started off with their customary impressive early season record with their only losses coming against Duke, Texas A&M, and Illinois with a majority of their wins coming against a bunch of cupcakes in non-conference play (ok, the Xavier win was nice) and they just blew out UNC in Littlejohn Coliseum. The key to this game will be the match-up on the inside with Trevor Booker (15.4 PPG and 8.3 RPG) going up against Gani Lawal (15.2 PPG and 9.2 RPG) and Derrick Favors (11.5 PPG and 8.6 RPG). Despite the Yellow Jackets’ inconsistency lately, we’re going to go with the homecourt and the fact that we never trust Clemson in big games here.
#15 Purdue at Illinois at 9 PM on ESPN and ESPN360.com: The big question here is how the Boilermakers will respond to Matt Painter calling out the entire team except for Robbie Hummel and E’Twaun Moore after their three-game losing streak. The key for Illinois will be if they can get Demetri McCamey going against Chris Kramer. They will probably rely on their running him through a bunch of screen in their motion offense (ESPN Insider required) to get Kramer off of him. On the other side of the ball, Purdue needs JaJuan Johnson to start playing like the All-Big Ten player that he is and not the guy who scored 17 points combined in their last three games (all losses). If Purdue plays the way they did early in the season, they are clearly capable of pulling off the road win. Given the experience on the Boilermakers team, we’re going to go with them bouncing back on the road against Bruce Weber and the Illini.
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Regular Features, set your tivos | Tagged: acc, big 10, big ten, bruce weber, chris kramer, clemson, david lighty, demetri mccamey, derrick favors, duke, e'twaun moore, evan turner, gani lawal, georgia, georgia tech, illinois, jajuan johnson, john shurna, jon diebler, kansas state, kevin coble, matt painter, michael thompson, northwestrn, ohio state, purdue, robbie hummel, texas, texas a&m, thad matta, trevor booker, unc, virginia, william buford, xavier |
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Posted by nvr1983
January 16th, 2010

Northwestern and Purdue meet up in this key Big Ten battle with the Wildcats and Boilermakers looking for answers after key Big Ten losses. Northwestern played a tight game against a Jon Leuer-less Wisconsin squad on Wednesday, but ultimately gave up too many rebounds and open threes. After being led by a hot-shooting Robbie Hummel for a half Purdue lost its second straight Big Ten game at home against Ohio State on Tuesday. Hummel missed part of the second half with a dislocated finger, but he should be ready to go this evening in Welsh-Ryan Arena. Northwestern’s NCAA hopes hang on this current stretch of games and if the Wildcats lose this one they’ll have to upset the Buckeyes on the road. Last season both of these games were extremely close as each team won on the opposition’s home court. This is the only meeting between the two this season, so expect it to be an intense Big Ten match-up. The game is on Big Ten Network, but the instant analysis is here on Rush The Court.
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09-10, RTC Live | Tagged: big 10, jon leuer, northwestern, purdue, robbie hummel |
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Posted by rtmsf
January 11th, 2010
How did the Upset Weekend impact our poll this week? Since so many teams lost, there wasn’t all that much relative movement. Analysis after the jump…

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Regular Features, blogpoll | Tagged: acc, atlantic 10, baylor, big 10, big 12, big east, byu, clemson, connecticut, florida st, georgia tech, kansas, miami (fl), michigan st, mountain west, ole miss, pittsburgh, sec, tennessee, texas, texas tech, washington, wcc, wisconsin |
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Posted by rtmsf
January 6th, 2010
This has been buzzing around for 24 hours, but it’s now been confirmed by Jeff Goodman that Ohio State superstar and November NPOY favorite Evan Turner will return to the court this evening in the Buckeyes’ home game against Indiana. It was a little bizarre how everyone in Hoops Nation seemed to forget about Turner as soon as he broke several vertebrae in his back in a nasty fall versus Eastern Michigan. We wrote in this space a month ago that Ohio State would be lucky to go .500 while he was out (expecting him to be on the mend until early February), and they’ve gone 3-3, losing all of their away games. After tonight’s game against IU, the Buckeyes face games at Minnesota and Purdue, with a home game against Wisconsin. OSU needs Turner back on the floor, and in a big way. Even if he’s not 100% tonight or this weekend, his presence will go a long way toward keeping his team focused and calm. This is great news for the Buckeyes, and even better news for college basketball.
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player injuries | Tagged: big 10, evan turner, injuries, ohio st |
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Posted by rtmsf
January 6th, 2010

Colonial - Ryan Restivo of SienaSaintsBlog (READ MORE)
William & Mary is on a Roll. The Tribe have won ten straight, a new school record, and won 48-47 at Hofstra on a Kendrix Brown three point play to continue their historic season. William & Mary is 2-0 in the CAA for the first time since 1997-98. The Tribe have not started this well since 1948-49 when they started 14-2. More impressively, the Tribe never gave up the lead at Maryland after the 4:44 mark in the first half in a convincing 83-77 win in College Park. After dropping their first two games to Connecticut by nine and Harvard in triple-overtime, the Tribe have racked up impressive statement wins over Richmond, Wake Forest and Maryland. According to Kenpom.com, their Offensive efficiency is tops in the nation (124.2).
Missouri Valley – Patrick Marshall of White & Blue Review (READ MORE)
Northern Iowa mowing down the Valley — Those that don’t consider Northern Iowa the class of the Valley need to have their head examined (including myself, before now). The Panthers are on an 11-game winning streak after following a tough road win against Creighton in Omaha with victories against Evansville and Missouri State to race out to a 3-0 conference record in the first week.
SEC – Paul Jordan of Wildcat Blue Blog (READ MORE)
The big story in the SEC this week was the arrest and indefinite suspension of four Tennessee basketball players — Tyler Smith, Melvin Goins, Cameron Tatum and Brian Williams. The group was arrested on a myriad of drug and weapon charges. Some of the charges were felonies, and given the recent problems with UT’s football program, it is hard to imagine any scenario in which the players may step back on the court this season.
ACC - Steve Moore (READ MORE)
After splitting the top spot last week with rival UNC, the Blue Devils sit atop this week’s rankings all by themselves. No, it wasn’t the win over Long Beach State or the 59-point demolition of Penn. Duke pretty much dismantled highly regarded Clemson Sunday night, posting a 21-point win that was never even remotely that close. Jon Scheyer is scoring more than enough for Duke, and Kyle Singler and the Devils’ frontcourt proved it could handle a seasoned big man like Trevor Booker. An impressive win, to say the very least.
Big Ten – Jason Prziborowski (READ MORE)
Big 10 Madness has begun – Conference play started this past week in the Big Ten, and they didn’t disappoint. Indiana loses Maurice Creek, their top scorer and player, and then they upset Michigan at home. Michigan, not to be outdone, gets revenge for what their football team couldn’t do against OSU. Wisconsin, not wanting to miss out, blows out both OSU and PSU. Surprisingly, only Michigan and Minnesota have at least a win and a loss. Everyone else either hasn’t lost, or hasn’t won.
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administrative | Tagged: acc, big 10, caa, missouri valley, sec |
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Posted by rtmsf
January 4th, 2010
Over the long holiday weekend, Syracuse and West Virginia fell from the ranks of the unbeaten, leaving only four teams — Kansas, Texas, Kentucky & Purdue — with a shot at the holy grail of a perfect season. None of the coaches will admit to it on the record, but they all hate losing, and each of them would welcome a chance to become the first team since Indiana in 1976 to win every game put in front of them. There’s only one problem. It’s collectively called the Big 12, SEC and Big Ten gauntlets schedules.

As you’re well aware, there have only been two schools in the last two decades who have run the regular season table — UNLV in 1991, and St. Joseph’s in 2004 — and of course the aforementioned Hoosiers a generation ago were the last to go unblemished throughout. There are many reasons for this, especially given that it’s difficult to win every single game with a growing target on your back, but the primary reason that Tark’s Rebels and Martelli’s Hawks were able to do it when so many other great teams were not was because they played in mid-major conferences (the Big West and Atlantic 10, respectively). This is not to say that those conferences are cakewalks, because they’re not. Every league has its share of rivalry games, other good programs and rattlesnake pits disguised as home gyms that make life difficult on favorites. But what those conferences provide that is often missing among the BCS conferences are the true bottom-feeders that give elite teams such as UNLV/St. Joe’s breaks on a given night. Have a tough shooting night at Vandy or Baylor? You’re going home with your first L. A tough shooting night at Fordham or Long Beach, though? You’re probably still ok.
With the clear knowledge in mind that all four of the remaining unbeatens are going to lose a regular season game (or several), let’s take a look at the remaining schedules to pinpoint exactly when and where that might happen. First, let’s see what Pomeroy has to say. He provides percentage odds on every future game, and if you extrapolate out over the rest of the year, you can start to pinpoint the true likelihood of when that first loss might occur.

This is a good starting point, as Purdue appears to be the most likely candidate to lose next (@ Wisconsin on Saturday), while Kansas seems to be the most likely team to run the table (10.2% isn’t exactly a lock, though). The statistical analysis Pomeroy provides only tells part of the story, though, so we’re going to break down each team’s likelihood of its next loss using another analytical tool – our brain.
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rtc analysis | Tagged: atlantic 10, big 10, big 12, big west, indiana, kansas, kansas st, ken pomeroy, kentucky, matt painter, purdue, sec, south carolina, st joseph's, syracuse, texas, unlv, west virginia, wisconsin |
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Posted by rtmsf
December 29th, 2009

Missouri Valley – Patrick Marshall of White & Blue Review (READ MORE)
Surprises at the top — A year ago, you would not have seen Missouri State and Wichita State at the top of the conference with Creighton and Bradley towards the bottom. But this is how the crazy Valley non-conference season has gone so far. The Valley is an impressive 80-32 (.714) in non-conference play with some nice wins against top level conferences that have been missing over the past few seasons.
SEC – Paul Jordan of Wildcat Blue Blog (READ MORE)
Finally! College basketball is back in the SEC after a couple of weeks of finals (and the holidays) and it is back with a vengeance with two bitter in-state rivalries for both Kentucky and Tennessee. Aside from that, Baylor does a curious double dip in the SEC and most of the good action is actually televised this week.
Big Ten – Jason Pzirobowski (READ MORE)
I don’t know if you looked at the new AP top 25 poll, but if you have, you may have done a double take when you saw Northwestern at number 25. It’s for real, for the team that has never made the NCAA Tournament, they are well on their way. Now five Big Ten teams are in the top 25: #4 Purdue, #11 Michigan State, #13 Ohio State, #23 Wisconsin and #25 Northwestern.
ACC - Steve Moore (READ MORE)
What’s the deal with UNC-Greensboro? I understand that the poor Spartans have a short trip to almost every ACC school, and can fatten their athletic wallet with games in ACC gyms. But they’ve gotta grow tired of this, right? Greensboro plays 13 non-league games this season, and six of them come against ACC foes. The Spartans have already lost to Duke, Virginia Tech, Clemson and Wake Forest by a combined score of 319-235, and still have to face N.C. State and Maryland this week. To add to their misery, the Spartans have also been thumped by Richmond (26 points), Akron (24 points) and East Carolina (21 points). I’d love to hear that recruiting pitch…
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administrative | Tagged: acc, big 10, mvc, sec |
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Posted by rtmsf
December 29th, 2009
Here’s this week’s Top 25, and you might be surprised as a new #1 takes over even though the top six all won last week. Analysis after the jump…

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Regular Features, blogpoll | Tagged: acc, atlantic 10, big 10, big 12, big east, butler, cusa, duke, florida, georgia tech, kansas, mississippi st, mississippi state, mountain west, ohio st, ohio state, pac-10, purdue, sec, tennessee, texas, texas a&m, uab, unlv, villanova, xavier |
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Posted by zhayes9
December 29th, 2009

- Horrible news for Tom Crean’s young Indiana Hoosier team, as leading scorer Maurice Creek broke his kneecap during last night’s game with Bryant and will miss the rest of the season. Creek is one of the top freshman scorers in America at 17.6 PPG, ahead of other notables such as Kansas’ Xavier Henry (17.2) and Derrick Favors (12.9). Huge blow to Indiana as it heads into the conference season.
- Northwestern landed at #25 in the AP poll for the first time in forty seasons this week. How awesome is that, especially after all of their injury problems this season? Nine of their next ten games are very tough matchups for the Wildcats, but we’ll be rooting for them. This could be the best little-guy story we’ve had in some time in this game if they can stay in the hunt for an NCAA bid this year.
- Seth Davis’ annual Jigsaw Man article, and it has nothing to do with Saw VI either.
- Jeff Goodman explains why and when the six remaining unbeatens will lose rather soon. No argument on that point, but specifically, we do think Syracuse and Texas will last longer than what he suggests. Texas losing at Arkansas is a pretty big reach with as bad as the Hawgs have been this year.
- Yeah, conference play begins in earnest this week in the Pac-10, Big East and Big Ten, but it feels a little weird to have meaningful conference games before the New Year holiday. We’ll be there watching, though.
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Regular Features, morning 5 | Tagged: big 10, big east, indiana, jeff goodman, maurice creek, northwestern, pac-10, seth davis, syracuse, texas, tom crean |
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Posted by rtmsf
December 16th, 2009

As we said in this post yesterday, we’re handling our conference check-ins a little differently now. We’ll be posting them on a daily schedule, as usual, but they won’t be posted in full on the main page. Rather, you’ll need to check the little box above to see what the latest conference check-ins are. To jog the memory, we’ll also be posting daily excerpts of the previous day’s check-ins, at least for a while to get everyone used to the change.
Yesterday, we had check-ins from the Big Ten and the SEC…
Big Ten - Jason Prziborowski (READ MORE)
Was Butler a fluke or is Ohio State on the verge of dropping out of the top 25? Butler is definitely on the way back up, but I am questioning whether OSU has enough in its tank to make up the difference. William Buford, who is averaging 12/4 on the year, stepped up for 20/7 for the Buckeyes. David Lighty, who is 12/5 on the year, went for 16/7 against the bulldogs. OSU is averaging 85.4 points per game this season, and scored just 66 against Butler. That’s about the gap of one Evan Turner. (…)
SEC – Paul Jordan (READ MORE)
It was a very slow week in the SEC as three teams did not see any action at all. Kentucky and Mississippi State represented the SEC well in the SEC/Big East Invitational while Florida and Georgia lost their matchups. Both Mississippi teams have been coming on strong and supplying some firepower to the West; Tennessee has only one setback and they should challenge UK all season. The big story for the rest of the year will be the race to 2000 wins between UK and North Carolina. Kentucky has pretty much assured themselves of being the first team to break the 2000-win plateau as they currently have 1998 wins to 1992 for UNC. (…)
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administrative | Tagged: big 10, conference check-ins, sec |
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Posted by rtmsf
December 16th, 2009

- Will Brandon Knight become the next Derrick Rose Tyreke Evans John Wall for John Calipari at Memphis Kentucky? One of the top players in the Class of 2010 has, according to Zagsblog, listed his final four schools: Kansas, Kentucky, UConn and Florida. He’ll sign in the spring, but you have to believe that with Wall leaving Lexington in April, the Wildcats would be very well situated for another one-and-done point guard prospect to enter the school.
- Arkansas can’t seem to get anything right lately. It’s a small violation, but the Hawgs self-reported a violation involving photo images of players in a magazine.
- This was rumored last week, but it became official yesterday. The Big Ten will formally explore the option of adding a twelfth team to its mix, ostensibly to have a football championship game. We hope to have an analysis up later on this, but how will it affect basketball? John Gasaway thinks it will come down to Pittsburgh or Missouri.
- Do you know anything — anything at all — about the Western Carolina Catamounts and their star player Jake Robinson? Educate yourself.
- Roy Williams explained himself further on his radio show Monday night. Let’s just say that he didn’t apologize for overreacting, instead choosing to contextualize his thinking of the incident to excuse his behavior. Here’s the relevant excerpt, but we suggest you read the entire thing here.
Saturday night, all of a sudden, some guy stands up and starts yelling at Deon and it came from behind our bench. And you know how when some things happen, you instantly think of something? My first thought was, ‘Now our parents are having to listen to somebody else, and it’s in our own building.’ And so I turned around and I said, ‘Who said that?’ And about 40-50-60-70-80 people started pointing up at this guy. The guy gets up and starts gyrating with his arms and everything like, ‘Yeah, it was me,’ and that kind of thing. And it really did tick me off. I turned and said something to the ushers behind the bench and they started up through there, and I turned around and coached the game. I have no idea what happened. I never turned around to the guy again. But my feeling was immediately that our parents who sit right behind our bench have to put up with that stuff again in our own building. So that was it. And after the game, they told me that they had escorted the young man out. Supposedly what had happened was they had asked him for his ticket and he didn’t have a ticket or wasn’t supposed to be sitting in that seat. Supposedly, and I want to emphasis the word supposedly, he didn’t cooperate as much as they wanted, and they chose to take him out.
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morning 5 | Tagged: arkansas, big 10, brandon knight, derrick rose, expansion, jake robinson, john wall, kentucky, ncaa violations, roy williams, tyreke evans, unc, western carolina |
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Posted by rtmsf
December 15th, 2009
Last weekend’s Villanova loss created the only substantive movement in the RTC Top 25 this week, but we weren’t rating the Wildcats as high as everyone else anyway, so the market on Jay Wright’s team appears to have been corrected. Analysis after the jump…

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blogpoll | Tagged: acc, atlantic 10, big 10, big 12, big east, horizon, illinois, kansas st, memphis, mountain west, new mexico, ohio st, pac-10, sec, texas a&m, texas tech, unc, unlv, villanova, washington, wcc, west virginia, wisconsin, xavier |
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Posted by rtmsf