Game #163.  RTC Live loves the little guys too.  An Ivy League title is on the line in Cambridge tonight.

This one’s for all the Tostitos.  It’s a nascent Ancient Eight rivalry in its second year.  Harvard has tons of talent but lacks experience (no seniors).  Princeton relies on two seniors and two juniors to anchor a deliberate but efficient offense.  Harvard has never won an Ivy League title; Princeton has won the title 28 times.  The Ivy League regular season title carries significant weight, as the winner gets the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.  Harvard hasn’t danced since 1946.  Needless to say, Harvard’s campus is buzzing with basketball relevance.  A loss last weekend at bitter rival Yale will keep the Crimson from winning the title outright, but a win here guarantees at least one more game.  The Ivy League tiebreaker is a one game “playoff” on a neutral site.  Princeton does play one more game at Penn, which only matters if Harvard wins because it would clinch the title.  Princeton is led by senior Dan Mavraides and its solid frontline of Kareem Maddox (senior), Patrick Saunders (junior) and Ian Hummer.  Harvard is led by junior co-captains Oliver McNally and Keith Wright.  McNally is one of the most efficient players in the country (averaging the gold standard 50% from two, 40% from three and 90% from the free throw line).  Wright might be the best big in the Ivy League, averaging over 15 points and almost nine boards a game.  Brandyn Curry runs Harvard’s offense, flanked by sharpshooters Christian Webster and Laurent Rivard (the frontrunner for Ivy Rookie of the Year).  First and foremost the Crimson have to limit Hummer and Maddox, who combined for 31 points in the first meeting at Princeton.  Princeton won that game because Harvard couldn’t take care of the ball and let the Tiger frontline score too efficiently.  Princeton needs to keep Harvard’s shooters from getting anything resembling an open shot.  If this turns into a shootout, it favors the Crimson.  Both of these teams are coming off of dominant performances Friday night, Princeton over Dartmouth and Harvard over Penn.

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Daniel Spewak is the RTC correspondent for the Sun Belt Conference. With SBC tournament action set to tip on Saturday, get up to speed with RTC’s preview and regular season wrap-up.

Tournament Preview

The Favorite: The Sun Belt Conference tournament is what ESPN’s Championship Week is all about. There is no talk of “bubble” in the Sun Belt. The only team in the league with a chance at avoiding a 16-seed is Florida Atlantic, a team with a strong overall record and several quality wins. And even that’s a long shot. The Owls are the easy favorite to cut down the nets next Tuesday, but they’re not invincible. Just two weeks ago, they scored 42 points in a loss at Denver and fell at home to Louisiana-Lafayette.

On Fire: The last time Louisiana-Lafayette lost, Egypt was still an authoritarian country, the NFL was still playing and Michigan State was actuall yranked! The Rajun’ Cajuns don’t at all resemble the team that started 3-14, which is why the 11-game winning streak isn’t necessarily a fluke. They’re only one of two teams to win at FAU in league play this year, and a rematch may await next week.

The Sleeper: Sure, there’s an argument to be made that North Texas and Western Kentucky are strong “sleeper” picks, because underachievers often feel like they have new life once the conference tournament starts. We’re going to stray away from those teams, though, and pick Denver as the SBC sleeper. Of course, DU’s been an underachiever since that undefeated start in league play, but the Pioneers are in a different situation. After losing star Nate Rohnert, Joe Scott’s team wasn’t expected to compete in the West this year. Denver has exceeded expectations, in spite of the poor finish, and it has the pieces to win four games in a row. As we said earlier, Denver plays one of the nation’s slowest tempos and thrives when its methodical, Princeton offense can create open threes and layups. As long as the shots are falling and DU’s offense is executing, this team has a shot to pull a shocker.

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Game #164.  Marquette is seeking to get wins any way it can to leave nothing to chance; Seton Hall is coming off a great win earlier this week.

Marquette brings almost as many questions as answers tonight when they visit Seton Hall tonight. The Golden Eagles, projected to finish 9^th in the preseason coach’s poll, sit in a three-way tie for 9^th with Connecticut and Villanova, two teams projected to do better this season. Should Marquette win and all other scenarios fall in place, the Golden Eagles would dodge the Tuesday round in Madison Square Garden next week with an 8^th place finish. In any case, Coach Buzz Williams would prefer to draw DePaul (whom they beat by 30 in January) in their first round game, rather than Providence (whom they beat by 20 last week) or South Florida (they escaped with a one point win on February 9). Marquette utilizes a guard-oriented drive to the basket offense, combined with a series of man and zone defenses to keep their opponent off balance. Marquette’s back court combines a pair of veterans, Darius Odom-Johnson and Dwight Buycks with a trio of freshmen, Vander Blue, Davante Gardner and red shirt Junior Cadougan. The trio could use more game time to prepare for the Big East Tournament and the post season beyond. Though a shorter, quicker squad, the Golden Eagles will slash and drive to earn their points, rather than pass around the perimeter and look for a catch-and-shoot play from the three point line. Seton Hall has secured the #12 seed in the Big East Tournament, but the Pirates have more than a few questions still to answer in this, their last regular season game at home. Coach Kevin Willard would like to see the Hall win their second consecutive Big East Conference game, a feat they have only accomplished once this season, and build some confidence as they prepare to face in state rival Rutgers, seeded #12, in their first round game on Tuesday.

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Game #162.  The Keystone State rivalry takes on additional meaning this Saturday with Pitt defending its home court for a Big East title.

Welcome to a rainy Saturday in Pittsburgh at the Petersen Events Center for a Big East match up between Pittsburgh and Villanova. Join us for a game that will determine all of the regular season marbles in the Big East. Pittsburgh has met preseason expectations, whereas Villanova has fallen short. These two teams want to win, but for different reasons. Pittsburgh wants to close out the regular season on top and win the title outright. Villanova wants redemption and a chance to salvage a disappointing season. In their last game, Pittsburgh won by three, but unfortunately for Villanova, it didn’t include the service of Pittsburgh’s leading scorer, Ashton Gibbs. This is really anyone’s ball game though. The edge should go to Pittsburgh, especially at home, but I don’t want to discount how much this victory means to Villanova prior to the postseason and NCAA Tournament.

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Eli Linton is the RTC correspondent for the Summit League. Tournament action tips Saturday in Sioux Falls, so get up to speed on all things Summit League and get a leg up on your Big Dance upset research.

Summit League Tournament Predictions

Saturday, March 5:

• Oakland 91, Southern Utah 72— Keith Benson and company will make a statement in the opening game, leaving no doubt who the top dog in the conference is.
• Oral Roberts 77, North Dakota State 70—Michael Tveidt, in his swan song, will do his best to help his Bison rise up one last time. In the end, ORU is just too deep and too much to handle.

Sunday, March 6:

• South Dakota State 82, IPFW 75—the first upset of the conference tournament. Home cooking and a “why not us?” mentality carries South Dakota State to victory.
• IUPUI 80, UMKC 75— Alex Young goes off, IPFW can’t find an answer.

Monday, March 7:

• Oakland 88, South Dakota State 85—What a great matchup this would be… Oakland has too much firepower, and outpaces The Jackrabbits in a nail-biter.
• Oral Roberts 81, IUPUI 71—Oral Roberts is playing like a team that wants it just as bad as anyone else. They will get revenge on last year’s elimination by the Jags.

Tuesday, March 8:

• Oakland 80, Oral Roberts 79—It will come down to who has the deeper bench, the smarter players, and the more reliable players in crunch time. Oral Roberts has one or two guys like that. Oakland has four or five. The experience will be the difference. We knew it would come down to these two since day one. I think we are in for a classic battle. Winner goes dancing, loser goes home. See you at the Summit.

Power Rankings and Postseason Preview

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Game #161.  Notre Dame has its eyes on a Big East title as the Irish travel east to face UConn and Kemba Walker.

UConn’s play over the past ten games has been consistent with how the coaches presumed the Huskies would perform in the Big East—Jim Calhoun’s squad was picked to finish 10^th in the 16 team conference. For much of the season, UConn’s youth were playing well beyond their years as they sprinted out to a 17-2 record and appeared to be a legitimate contender for the Big East title. Losing six of their last ten games, however, has brought UConn back down to earth. Kemba Walker has received little help as of late—something that he consistently received earlier in the season—and it has shown in UConn’s results and play. With Notre Dame—arguably the best team in the Big East with such potent shooting from beyond the arc—invading Gampel Pavilion, UConn has a great opportunity to earn a signature win before the Big East tournament begins. More importantly, the Huskies will undoubtedly gain a renewed sense of confidence heading into the postseason if they can knock off the Irish. It won’t be easy for UConn as Notre Dame is playing some of the best basketball around having won 10 of 11 games with Ben Hansbrough and Tim Abromaitis raining threes from all over the court, but the Huskies are playing within the friendly confines of Gampel Pavilion where they are almost unbeatable compiling a 27-2 record on their on-campus arena dating back to the 2007-08 season. Notre Dame has already locked up a top four seed in the upcoming conference tournament which gives them a double-bye into the quarterfinals. One may assume that ND does not have as much to play for as UConn, who is on the brink of having to play in the first round of the tournament, but they have a shot at earning a favorable seed in the NCAA Tournament—maybe even a #1 seed if they went onto win the Big East Tournament. With Notre Dame looking to obtain a top seed in the Dance and UConn jockeying for position in the Big East tournament, Saturday’s matinée affair in Hartford, CT will certainly be a great one.

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***** – quit your job and divorce your wife if that’s what it takes to watch this game live
**** – best watched live, but if you must, tivo and watch it tonight as soon as you get home
*** – set your tivo but make sure you watch it later
** – set your tivo but we’ll forgive you if it stays in the queue until 2013
* – don’t waste bandwidth (yours or the tivo’s) of any kind on this game

Brian Otskey is an RTC contributor.

The final Saturday of the regular season is also the best of the year. Epic would be one way to describe the schedule today. Bids will be clinched, bubbles will burst and conference titles will be decided. All rankings from RTC and all times Eastern.

#2 Kansas @ #21 Missouri in progress on CBS (****)

It's Title Time (Again) For Markieff and KU, Though We Don't Expect the Tigers To Go Quietly

The Jayhawks can clinch the Big 12 title with a win here or a Texas loss at Baylor this evening. Through Texas’ surge and preseason projections brandishing Kansas State and Baylor, we learned one thing in this conference in 2010-11: the conference title goes through Lawrence until proven otherwise. Missouri will be in the NCAA Tournament win or lose, but a win here would really improve their seeding and give them confidence heading into the postseason. The Tigers are a different team at home and should give KU all they’ve have in front of their raucous crowd and a national television audience, looking to complete their home slate undefeated. Kansas will need to protect the ball and dominate in the paint and on the glass in order to win on the road. Missouri’s preference for a quick pace means rebounding is a vulnerability, and the Morris twins should be able to pull down a lot of missed shots assuming they stay out of foul trouble.

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Ray Floriani of College Chalk Talk is the RTC correspondent for the MAAC and NEC. Get set for the MAAC tournament, which starts on Friday, by taking a look at RTC’s preview and regular season recap.

Postseason Preview

Last year, it was Albany. The next three years, Springfield, Massachusetts. The MAAC is on the move. This season’s postseason tournament will be at Harbor Yards in Bridgeport, Connecticut.  The MAAC format is a unique one in that both the men’s and women’s tournaments are contested at the same site. This makes it easier for the fans and gives an opportunity to showcase each member’s program on both the men’s and women’s side.

The men’s tournament tips the evening of March 4, with both men’s and women’s finals the following Monday. The MAAC will be a one-bid league. Iona, Fairfield and Rider have impressive records, but not enough to get an at-large bid. The conference tournament will be winner-take-all and on to the Big Dance.

Fairfield coach Ed Cooley would be the first to admit home court advantage is nice, but it’s no guarantee. Any of the top four could emerge as champion. At any rate, a prediction must be made and the choice is Fairfield.  The Stags have a nice inside/outside combination. A 66 possession paced team, the offensive efficiency is moderate at 100 but the defense, an outstanding 89. Defensively, they force opponents to give up the ball on 25% of their possessions. With Derek Needham at the point, the Stags TO rate is an impressive 18%. The Stags also boast a plus-four edge in offensive and defensive rebounding percentage. Credit that to the presence of seven foot junior Ryan Orlander, 6’5 senior Yorel Hawkins and 6’5 freshman Maurice Barrow.

The MAAC, with Siena in recent seasons, has been represented well in the Big Dance. Fairfield, with good guard and interior play, could prove a tough first round matchup. A lot depends on the draw and how Fairfield and the opposition line up. The early season schedule had a few tough tests and they were away from home. Cooley wanted a team ready not just for the MAAC, but the challenges of post season as well.

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Game #160.  RTC Live is back at the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament with the best game of the day on paper.

Friday’s quarterfinal matchup between Creighton and Northern Iowa features two of the MVC’s heavyweights: the teams have combined to win nine of the previous 12 MVC Tournament titles. Its also a matchup of teams who played just six days ago in the regular season finale, a game Creighton won 63-55. That’s a relatively rare occurrance, though its happened six times to Creighton over the past 12 years. Conventional wisdom might hold that the team winning the first game would struggle in the rematch, but in four of the last five times it’s happened, the team who won the regular season finale also won the MVC Quarterfinal game.  Northern Iowa comes into the game having lost six of seven without their senior leader, Lucas O’Rear, who fractured his ankle in early February, and have been outrebounded in four of their last five games — not surprising, considering O’Rear was their leading rebounder. The Panthers had been averaging ten more three-point attempts a game since losing O’Rear, but in the game with Creighton last week, they proceeded to shoot just 12 of them, the fewest attempts of any game all season. Their game plan was to drive it inside and get to the line, which worked: they got Creighton’s second-team All-MVC point guard Antoine Young in foul trouble early, and without him, the Bluejays struggled offensively. They scored just eight points in the final twelve minutes of the first half with him on the bench; when he returned in the second half, they opened up an 11-0 run to take a lead they didn’t give up.

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Zach Hayes is RTC’s official bracketologist.

Bracket Math (italics indicates automatic bid)

Locks: 34

Non-At Large Automatic Bids: 22

Spots Remaining: 12

Currently In The Field: Florida State, Marquette, Illinois, Georgia, Michigan State, Gonzaga, Virginia Tech, Boston College, Butler, Michigan, Richmond, Clemson

Last Four In: Butler, Michigan, Richmond, Clemson

First Four Out: Alabama, Colorado, Baylor, Colorado State

Next Four Out: Nebraska, Washington State, Oklahoma State, Memphis

1 Seeds: Ohio State, Kansas, Pittsburgh, Duke

2 Seeds: BYU, Notre Dame, Texas, Purdue

3 Seeds: San Diego State, Florida, Louisville, Syracuse

4 Seeds: Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgetown, St. John’s

5 Seeds: Connecticut, Kentucky, West Virginia, Vanderbilt

6 Seeds: Arizona, Xavier, Villanova, Kansas State

7 Seeds: Cincinnati, George Mason, Texas A&M, Missouri

8 Seeds: Old Dominion, Tennessee, Temple, Washington

9 Seeds: Utah State, UNLV, UCLA, Florida State

10 Seeds: Marquette, Illinois, Saint Mary’s, Georgia

11 Seeds: Michigan State, Gonzaga, Virginia Tech, Boston College

12 Seeds: Butler, Michigan, Richmond, Clemson, UAB, Missouri State

13 Seeds: Belmont, Oakland, Princeton, Charleston

14 Seeds: Milwaukee, Bucknell, Coastal Carolina, Vermont

15 Seeds: Long Beach State, Fairfield, Kent State, Murray State

16 Seeds: Long Island, Florida Atlantic, Northern Colorado, McNeese State, Texas Southern, Bethune-Cookman

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