Will Kansas Get a Number One Seed? Handicapping the Race…
Posted by KoryCarpenter on March 4th, 2013Less than a month ago it seemed ridiculous to mention ‘Kansas’ and ‘#1 seed’ in the same breath. They had lost three in a row for the first time in forever and dropped a game to the worst team in a power conference, falling to #14 in the AP poll on February 11. But then things started happening between then and now that needed to happen for Kansas to be in the discussion for a top seed so late in the season. Teams ahead of the Jayhawks started losing. Butler lost three times. So did Michigan State. Arizona and Syracuse each lost three games. Ohio State, Florida, Michigan, and Miami (FL) lost twice, as did Duke (although they were without Ryan Kelly in both instances). Kansas, on the other hand, is 6-0 since losing to Oklahoma on February 9. Louisville and Gonzaga are the only other teams from the top 14 in the AP poll three weeks ago that are undefeated since. And neither Louisville nor the Zags have the resume of Kansas in that stretch. The Jayhawks have beaten then #10 Kansas State at home and #14 Oklahoma State on the road — both RPI top 50 wins — as well as Iowa State on the road, a likely NCAA Tournament team with a #53 RPI ranking.
Barring two losses through the Big 10 Tournament (between three and five games), Indiana is a virtula lock for a #1 seed. Here’s what the other top teams look like, with resume boosters in bold and resume killers in italics.
Kansas
- 25-4 overall
- SOS: 13
- RPI: 4
- 9-3 in road/neutral games
- 9-3 vs the RPI top 50
- Good Wins: St. Louis (RPI #30), at Ohio State, at Oklahoma State, Kansas State (twice)
- Bad Losses: TCU
- Remaining Games: Texas Tech, at Baylor
Miami (FL)
- 23-5 overall
- SOS: 4
- RPI: 3
- 10-5 in road/neutral games
- 6-2 vs the RPI top 50
- Good Wins: at North Carolina State, North Carolina (twice), Michigan State, Duke
- Bad Losses: Wake Forest, Florida Gulf Coast, Indiana State
- Remaining Games: Georgia Tech, Clemson