Conference Report Card – Sweet Sixteen Edition
Posted by rtmsf on March 23rd, 2010It’s the Monday after the first two rounds, so that means it’s time for conference report cards! With only eleven of the 32 BCS conference teams remaining, we have a feeling that the major conferences aren’t going to perform so well in this year’s grading. But you never know. It all depends on the individual matchups and our mood as we break out the red marker. We review the conferences with multiple bids below…
WCC (2 bids, 1 remaining, 3-1 record, expected PASE = 1.4 wins)
Obviously, any time a WCC team makes the Sweet Sixteen it’s a great year for the conference. It’s especially great this time around because #10 St. Mary’s shows that the conference has some talent and depth in its league beyond the same old Zags. With two relatively low seeds (Gonzaga was a #8), many people were expecting the league to go oh-fer in the Dance this year, but now one week later the Gaels are a popular darkhorse pick to come out of the South Region as a true F4 Cinderella.
Verdict: A. The only thing that would have made this an A+ would have been if Gonzaga had upset #1 Syracuse. Every additional win from here on out is just gravy.
Big 10 (5 bids, 3 remaining, 7-2 record, expected PASE = 7.1 wins)
The Big Ten is having a good tournament after a somewhat disappointing regular season, and every year the league does this everyone acts surprised. #2 Ohio State rolled in its two games and appears a very strong contender to get to the Final Four after Northern Iowa blew up the Midwest Region. #4 Purdue and #5 Michigan State both survived extremely close games that support the contention that the Big Ten style of play (gutting out close games) helps when it comes Tourney time. OSU and MSU are on a likely collision course to the regional finals for an all-Big Ten extravaganza, but even if nobody wins another game, the league has already reached this year’s expectations.
Verdict: A-. Minnesota wasn’t expected to do much and they didn’t, but #4 Wisconsin was upset by a vastly underrated #12 Cornell in the second round. That upset is more than compensated by Purdue’s showing against #5 Texas A&M, a game where it was clear just how much they missed Robbie Hummel yet they still found a way to win. OSU and MSU give the Big Ten the most Sweet Sixteen teams of any league this season.
Pac-10 (2 bids, 1 remaining, 3-1 record, expected PASE = 1.2 wins)
West coast bias reared its head as the two Pac-10 invitees won first round games over Big East squads to move into the next round. #11 Washington then followed that up with a pasting of #3 New Mexico, while #8 Cal was simply outclassed by Duke’s talent. The way Washington is playing right now (nine in a row), we wouldn’t automatically assume a loss to WVU in the Sweets, but regardless of that result the league has already far outperformed what most people expected this year (which was an 0-2 record).
Verdict: B+. The league was undoubtedly way, way down this year, but UW and Cal gave it back a wee bit of respectability with their showings over the weekend.