Bracketology S-Curve Update: 03.05.12
Posted by zhayes9 on March 5th, 2012Zach Hayes is RTC’s official bracketologist.
- Last Four In: Northwestern, Xavier, Texas, South Florida.
- First Four Out: Seton Hall, VCU, Tennessee, Oregon.
- Next Four Out: Dayton, NC State, Arizona, St. Joseph’s.
click on bracket to enlarge
S-Curve
- 1 Seeds: Kentucky, Syracuse, Kansas, North Carolina
- 2 Seeds: Duke, Michigan State, Missouri, Ohio State
- 3 Seeds: Marquette, Michigan, Baylor, Georgetown
- 4 Seeds: Indiana, Wisconsin, Florida State, Temple
- 5 Seeds: Wichita State, Murray State, UNLV, Louisville
- 6 Seeds: Vanderbilt, Florida, Notre Dame, Creighton
- 7 Seeds: Iowa State, Gonzaga, San Diego State, New Mexico
- 8 Seeds: Kansas State, Purdue, Memphis, Saint Mary’s
- 9 Seeds: Cincinnati, Saint Louis, Alabama, Southern Miss
- 10 Seeds: Virginia, Harvard, Connecticut, West Virginia
- 11 Seeds: Colorado State, Mississippi State, California, BYU
- 12 Seeds: Miami, Washington, South Florida, Texas, Long Beach State
- 13 Seeds: Xavier, Northwestern, Drexel, Nevada, Oral Roberts
- 14 Seeds: Davidson, Belmont, Akron, Montana
- 15 Seeds: Denver, Valparaiso, Loyola (MD), Bucknell
- 16 Seeds: UT-Arlington, UNC-Asheville, LIU-Brooklyn, Stony Brook, Mississippi Valley, Savannah State
Automatic bids: Stony Brook, Temple, North Carolina, Belmont, Kansas, Syracuse, Montana, UNC-Asheville, Michigan State, Long Beach State, Drexel, Memphis, Valparaiso, Harvard, Loyola (MD), Akron, Savannah State, Creighton, San Diego State, LIU Brooklyn, Murray State, Washington, Bucknell, Kentucky, Davidson, UT-Arlington, Mississippi Valley State, Oral Roberts, Denver, Saint Mary’s, Nevada.
Bids per conference: Big East (9), Big Ten (7), Big 12 (6), SEC (5), ACC (5), Mountain West (4), Atlantic 10 (3), WCC (3), Conference USA (2), Missouri Valley (2), Pac-12 (2).
To clinch a bid:
- Southern Miss- Reach the Conference USA Tournament semifinals by beating East Carolina/Rice in the quarterfinals then Tulsa/Marshall/SMU in the semifinals
- Virginia- Beat NC State in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals (quarterfinal win vs. BC would not clinch bid)
- Harvard- Win the Ivy League regular season title
- Connecticut- Beat DePaul in the Big East Tournament first round then West Virginia in the second round
- West Virginia- Beat Connecticut in the Big East Tournament second round
- Colorado State- Beat TCU in the Mountain West tournament quarterfinals then San Diego State in the semifinals
- Mississippi State- Beat Georgia in the SEC Tournament first round then Vanderbilt in the quarterfinals
- California- Beat Stanford/Arizona State in the Pac-12 Tournament quarterfinals then Oregon in the semifinals (semifinal game vs. Colorado/Utah would not clinch bid)
- BYU– regular season over
- Miami- Beat Georgia Tech in the ACC Tournament first round then Florida State in the quarterfinal and Duke in the semifinal (semifinal win vs. Clemson/Virginia Tech would not clinch bid)
- Washington- Win the Pac-12 Tournament
- South Florida– Beat Villanova/Rutgers in the Big East Tournament second round then beat Notre Dame in the quarterfinals
- Texas- Beat Iowa State in the Big 12 Tournament quarterfinal (may need to beat Missouri in the semifinal depending on bubble picture)
- Long Beach State- Reach the Big West Tournament final
- Xavier- Beat Dayton in the Atlantic 10 Tournament final then Saint Louis in the semifinal (semifinal game vs. La Salle/Richmond would not clinch bid)
- Northwestern- Beat Minnesota in the Big Ten Tournament first round then Michigan in the quarterfinal (may need to beat Ohio State in semifinal depending on bubble picture)
- Seton Hall- Beat Providence in the Big East Tournament first round then Louisville in the second round
- VCU- Win the CAA Tournament
- Tennessee- Beat Ole Miss/Auburn in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals then Vanderbilt/Mississippi State in the semifinals (semifinal game vs. Georgia would not clinch bid)
- Oregon– Win the Pac-12 Tournament
- Dayton– Reach the Atlantic 10 Tournament final by beating Xavier and Saint Louis
- NC State– Reach the ACC Tournament finals by beating Boston College, Virginia and then Florida State/Miami/Georgia Techno
- Arizona– Win the Pac-12 Tournament