Maryland (17-6, 5-6; RPI: 65): Maryland has been awful against good teams. The only good win for the Terps is over N. C. State, one of the worst road teams in the country. A loss Sunday to Virginia hurt their cause even more. AT-LARGE ODDS: 35%

Virginia (16-6, 7-3; RPI: 95): A week after losing to Georgia Tech, the Cavaliers have righted the ship. A win against Maryland on Sunday added a sixth win against the RPI top 100 to this resume. Here’s the problem: Virginia is not getting into the field with a RPI near 100. Plus, Virginia has six inexcusable losses to teams ranked lower than 100 in the RPI.  AT-LARGE ODDS: 30%

Florida State (13-9, 5-4; RPI: 58): Florida State’s at-large hopes are nearly over after a loss at Wake Forest on Saturday. This team has zero wins against the RPI top 50. A win over Miami on Wednesday would at least make things interesting, while a loss puts the ‘Noles out of their misery. AT-LARGE HOPES: 15%

Other ACC teams with an at-large chance: None currently

Saint Louis (18-5, 7-2; RPI: 56): Saint Louis is getting hot at the right time. The Billikens are 10-2 in their last twelve games and have victories over Butler and New Mexico on their resume. Plus, there is only one bad loss here (Rhode Island). This is looking more and more like a NCAA Tournament team.  AT-LARGE ODDS: 60%

Temple (16-7, 5-4; RPI: 53): The Owls are the kind of team that makes a bracketologists’ job very difficult. A win over Syracuse looks fantastic, but losses to Canisius, St. Bonaventure, Saint Joseph’s, and Xavier cannot be ignored. A big comeback at Dayton on Saturday was gigantic in the large scheme of things. The Owls’ remaining Atlantic Ten schedule is pretty weak.  AT-LARGE ODDS: 50%

La Salle (16-6, 6-3; RPI: 35): La Salle has five wins over the RPI top 100 including victories against Butler and VCU, the Atlantic Ten’s best teams. The Explorers only have one bad loss, which came in mid-November against Central Connecticut State. The next two games on the schedule are very winnable– at St. Bonaventure, Saint Joseph’s–before a huge bubble game at Temple on February 21. AT-LARGE ODDS: 50%

Charlotte (17-6, 5-4; RPI: 51): The 49ers have been in the at-large conversation all along because of a great record and a mediocre RPI, but Charlotte only has two top 50 wins. Wins against La Salle and Massachusetts are average but games against Temple, Butler, VCU, and Saint Louis still remain on the schedule. Charlotte has the kind of record you look for in an at-large candidate, but the 49ers need big wins. The upcoming schedule provides plenty of chances for those.  AT-LARGE ODDS: 35%

Massachusetts (16-6, 6-3; RPI: 52): It was an up and down week for the Minutemen, who followed a one point win against La Salle with a one point loss to Charlotte. Massachusetts has done its part by winning of four of five games to set up a monster game with VCU on Thursday night. AT-LARGE HOPES: 30%

Other Atlantic Ten teams with an at-large chance: Richmond (10%), Xavier (10%), Saint Joseph’s (5%)

Oklahoma (15-7, 6-4; RPI: 17): Oklahoma caught Kansas at the right time, becoming the third straight Big 12 team to knock off the Jayhawks. That victory, coupled with wins over Oklahoma State and Baylor leave the Sooners in good shape for an at-large bid.  AT-LARGE ODDS: 65%

Iowa State (16-7, 6-4; RPI: 37): A loss on Saturday against Kansas State slowed the Cyclones’ momentum, but wins against Kansas State, Baylor, and Oklahoma are still nice victories over other Big 12 bubble contenders. The next two games are against Texas and TCU. AT-LARGE ODDS: 60%

Baylor (15-8, 6-3; RPI: 53): Two weeks ago Baylor was right in the middle of the Big 12 bubble pack. Now, the Bears are clearly at the bottom. Oklahoma and Oklahoma State have beaten Kansas and Iowa State has won against the Wildcats, Bears, and Sooners. Baylor better get going. A loss Wednesday against West Virginia would be a killer loss to the Bears’ at-large hopes. AT-LARGE ODDS: 50%

Other Big 12 teams with an at-large chance: None currently

Villanova (15-9, 6-5; RPI: 64) The Wildcats moved into the at-large consideration with wins against Louisville and Syracuse. This team is too inconsistent though.  Losses against Notre Dame and Providence following those two big wins have likely moved the Wildcats onto the bad side of the bubble. The Wildcats get Cincinnati on Tuesday.  AT-LARGE ODDS: 50%

St. John’s (15-9, 7-5; RPI: 55): After a win over Connecticut on Wednesday night, the Red Storm have pulled to 7-4 in the Big East. St. John’s has three wins over the RPI top 50 but lost to UNC-Asheville, San Francisco, and Murray State in non-conference play. On Sunday, Syracuse blew St. John’s out. This team does not look like a NCAA Tournament team. AT-LARGE ODDS: 25%

Other Big East teams with an at-large chance: Rutgers (5%)

Other Big Ten teams with an at-large chance: Iowa (5%)

Southern Miss (18-6, 7-2; RPI: 47): Southern Miss mainly makes this list due to the Eagles high RPI. Back to back losses to the second and third best teams in Conference USA have really changed the Eagles at-large odds. Southern Miss has to beat Memphis in their other meeting with the Tigers. AT-LARGE ODDS: 15%

Other Conference USA Teams with an at-large chance: UCF (5%)

Other Missouri Valley teams with an at-large chance: None

UNLV (18-6, 5-4; RPI: 22): Before Saturday’s win against New Mexico, UNLV was starting to slip a bit. The Rebels had lost back to back games against Boise State and Fresno State, but now the Rebels have three wins against the RPI top 50. Next up is a road game at Air Force. The Rebels are 4-5 on the road this year. AT-LARGE ODDS: 65%

San Diego State (18-5, 6-3; RPI: 25): San Diego State has some fantastic wins: UCLA, Colorado State, New Mexico, and Indiana State. Before Wednesday night’s one point win against Boise State, the Aztecs were starting to free fall a little bit. Inconsistency seems to rule the Mountain West. San Diego State has three RPI top 100 wins and not a single loss outside the RPI top 100. AT-LARGE ODDS: 65%

Boise State (16-7, 4-5; RPI: 45): Boise State’s one point loss to San Diego State on Wednesday night was a big blow to the Broncos at-large hopes, but at least the Aztecs bounced back with a win over Wyoming. There are only so many bids to go around in the Mountain West and right now the Broncos appear to be in the second tier of teams. Still, a win at Creighton is impressive and a victory over UNLV at home shows that this team is worthy of at-large bid consideration.  AT-LARGE ODDS: 50%

Wyoming (16-7, 2-7; RPI: 61): A 13-0 start now seems like years ago for Wyoming. The Cowboys have lost seven of nine in conference and appear done. Wins against Nevada and Fresno State could revive the Cowboys at large hopes in their next two games. If they win both of those, we will look ahead of scenarios that could get Wyoming at an-large bid. AT-LARGE ODDS: 15%

Other Mountain West teams with an at-large chance: Air Force (10%)

Arizona State (18-6, 7-4; RPI: 65): Saturday’s loss to Stanford was a big blow for the Sun Devils. As great as Arizona State’s record is, there is only one win against a sure NCAA Tournament team on this resume (UCLA). Games at Utah and at Colorado loom large this week.  AT-LARGE ODDS: 50%

Stanford (15-9, 6-5; RPI: 57): The Cardinal move onto the bubble watch after a win against Arizona State on Saturday. Stanford only has one top 50 win (Oregon), but still gets UCLA at home and also has a trip to Eugene left on its schedule. AT-LARGE ODDS: 25%

Washington (13-10, 5-5; RPI: 68): A buzzer beating loss to UCLA on Thursday night gave Washington its 10th loss and moved the Huskies back to .500 in conference play. There is only one RPI top 50 win on this resume (Colorado). If the Huskies can avoid a loss at USC and beat Oregon on Saturday, this team is worth another look.  AT-LARGE ODDS: 25%

Other Pac 12 teams with an at-large chance: California (15%)

Ole Miss (18-5, 7-3; RPI: 48): Over the last two weeks we have watched the Rebels play the three best teams from the SEC. Kentucky dominated them aside from a late run. Florida blew them off the Floor. Missouri humiliated them with Laurence Bowers finally back in the lineup. The Rebels best win is against the Tigers, but it was without Bowers in the lineup. Considering Missouri nearly scored 100 points with him against the Rebels on Saturday, it is easy to see why Mississippi is fourth in the SEC pecking order. AT-LARGE ODDS: 60%

Alabama (15-8, 7-3; RPI: 61): Wednesday night’s loss to Auburn was a huge blow to the Crimson Tide’s at large hopes. Alabama only scored 37 points the entire game, including 14 in the second half. Alabama’s win over Kentucky is the Crimson Tide’s lone win against the RPI top 50. Losses to Dayton, Tulane, and Mercer in Tuscaloosa have made this profile scream NIT. The Crimson Tide get their shot at the SEC’s big boys in March. They play at Florida March 2 and at Mississippi March 5. AT-LARGE ODDS: 35%

Other SEC teams with an at-large chance: Arkansas (5%)

Belmont (20-5, 11-1; RPI: 20): Right now the only RPI top 50 win for Belmont is against Middle Tennessee, another team hoping to get an at-large bid from a mid-major conference. It is really too bad that Murray State has not been the team we expected, because that would give Belmont (a very underrated team) a better shot at an at-large bid. The Ohio Valley won’t give them any chances, but an undefeated finish might be enough if their RPI stays so strong. Remember, no team with a RPI of 20 of better has ever missed the NCAA Tournament. AT-LARGE ODDS: 45%

BYU (18-8, 8-4; RPI: 59): A loss Saturday against San Francisco might have doomed BYU in the long run. The Cougars have only one RPI top 100 win and that victory is against Santa Clara, who barely makes the top 100 cut. The Cougars can change that stat when they play Saint Mary’s February 21 and Gonzaga on February 28. AT-LARGE ODDS: 25%

Louisiana Tech (21-3, 12-0; RPI: 51): A victory over Southern Miss is the only top 50 win on the Bulldogs resume.  Teams that lose to Northwestern State and McNeese State usually do not get at-large bids, but you never know. Would 9 more wins down the stretch (to get to 28) and a trip to the WAC Tournament finals be enough for an at-large bid? I’d suggest the Bulldogs make it easy by earning the auto bid. AT-LARGE ODDS: 25%

Middle Tennessee (22-4, 14-1; RPI: 29): Give Middle Tennessee credit for going out and playing teams from power conferences. The Blue Raiders are reaping the benefits of their early season schedule with wins over UAB, Mississippi, UCF, and Vanderbilt. They were blown out by Florida in their only chance for a top 10 win, but the victory over the Rebels continues to look better and better. Would 27-5 be enough? AT-LARGE ODDS: 25%

Bucknell (20-4, 7-1; RPI: 58): As expected, Bucknell’s RPI continues to free fall. The Bison have a win over La Salle that looks great after the Explorers dropped Butler and VCU.  Winning out is practically a must until the conference tournament final for Bucknell to even be in the conversation for an at-large bid on Selection Sunday. This team is 17-2 against teams below 100 in the RPI, which shows it has feasted on bad teams. AT-LARGE ODDS: 10%

Stephen F. Austin (20-2, 11-1; RPI: 71): Before falling to Northwestern State, the Lumberjacks’ only defeat was against Texas A&M. That one is relatively excusable. A victory over Oklahoma has them in the at-large conversation but they will likely need to almost win out to get a serious look from the committee. Would a 26-2 regular season plus a trip to the Southland final be enough? Probably not, but it is worth keeping an eye on. AT-LARGE ODDS: 10%