NCAA Preview: LSU Tigers

Posted by rtmsf on March 18th, 2009

LSU (#8 seed, South region, Greensboro pod)

vs. Butler (#9 seed)
12:20 p.m. ET – 3/19/09

Vegas Line: LSU -2.5

lsu-ncaa-graph1

Thanks to Vegas Watch for providing these graphs that measure the moving average of a team’s spread (moving avg.) over time vs. the spread for each individual game (indiv).  If a team’s moving average is higher than zero, then Vegas currently has a higher opinion of them than Pomeroy, and vice versa.

General Profile

Location: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Conference:
Southeastern, at-large
Coach:
Trent Johnson, 26-7 for 78.8%
08-09 Record:
26-7, 13-3
Last 12 Games:
9-3
Best Win:
79-73, @ Tennessee, 1-28-09
Worst Loss:
59-65, @ Alabama, 1-11-09
Off. Efficiency Rating
: 110.3; #53
Def. Efficiency Rating:
94.1; #53)

Nuts n Bolts

Star Player(s): Marcus Thornton – junior guard – 20.7ppg…2nd in SEC – 5.5rpg…23rd in SEC – 46.7% FG…9th in SEC and 2nd amongst guards – 74.0% FT…10th in SEC – 1.55spg…7th in SEC – SEC Player of the Year
Unsung Hero:
Tasmin Mitchell – junior forward – 16.3ppg…8th in SEC – 7.2rpg…11th in SEC – 52.1% FG…7th in SEC – 73.2% FT…11th in SEC – 1.58spg…6th in SEC – First-Team All-SEC
Potential NBA Draft Pick(s):
Marcus Thornton – projected #45, Chris Johnson – projected #58
Key Injuries:
none
Depth:
24.9%, #299
Achilles Heel:
The Tigers are not a very deep team, but are immensely athletic and talented. Their depth does not serve them especially well for a long run in the tournament.Will Make a Deep Run if…: Thornton comes out with confidence and the team wakes up after losing 3 of their last 4
Will Make an Early Exit if…:
Thornton isn’t draining shots

NCAA History

Last Year Invited: 2005-06, Final Four
Streak:
1
Best NCAA Finish:
Final Fours in 1981, 1986, 2006
Historical Performance vs. Seed (1985-present):
+0.18

Other

Six Degrees to Detroit: None
Distance to First Round Site:
856 miles
School’s Claim to Fame:
Shaq.
School Wishes It Could Forget:
Nick Saban.
Prediction:
LSU is a very talented team, and can beat anyone in the country on the right night. With UNC struggling with Lawson’s injury, the Tigers could be a dark-horse Sweet Sixteen team

Major RTC stories: None

Preview written by… Kurt Wirth/SEC Hoops: The Good. The Bad. The Dirty

rtmsf (3747 Posts)


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