Bracketology S-Curve Update: 03.10.12Posted by zhayes9 on March 10th, 2012
Zach Hayes is RTC’s official bracketologist.
Last Update: Saturday, March 10, 11:14 PM ET.
- NC State drops two spots on the S-Curve out of the NCAA Tournament field, moving Seton Hall in. The reason: NC State’s neutral court win on Friday over Virginia and sweep of Miami decreased in value in the last 24 hours. Virginia plummeted to a #52 RPI and Miami dropped out of the projected field following their loss to Florida State and Durand Scott’s ineligibility.
- Colorado wins the Pac-12 automatic bid and will likely be a #13 seed in the field. Arizona is not on the bubble. Ohio replaces Akron as the MAC auto bid.
- The final #1 seed will come down to the Big Ten Tournament final, so the committee may have two different brackets prepared in case either Michigan State or Ohio State emerge victorious. I believe the winner will surpass Kansas for the last #1 seed in the Phoenix region as the champion of both a share of the regular season title and the tournament title of the top conference in college basketball. Kansas beat Ohio State, but that game was played in Lawrence without Jared Sullinger, a fact the committee should consider.
- New Mexico jumps to a #6 seed with a share of both the regular season MWC title, conference tournament title and two wins against UNLV and San Diego State. On the back of a solid RPI/SOS and the huge win over North Carolina, the Rebels are also a #6 seed.
- Last Four In: Mississippi State, Seton Hall, Drexel, Texas.
- First Four Out: NC State, Miami (FL), Washington, Oral Roberts.
1 Seeds: Kentucky, Syracuse, North Carolina, Kansas
2 Seeds: Michigan State, Ohio State, Duke, Missouri
3 Seeds: Baylor, Marquette, Michigan, Georgetown
4 Seeds: Louisville, Florida State, Wisconsin, Indiana
5 Seeds: Wichita State, Murray State, Temple, Vanderbilt
6 Seeds: Florida, New Mexico, UNLV, Cincinnati
7 Seeds: Creighton, Notre Dame, Saint Mary’s, Memphis
8 Seeds: San Diego State, Gonzaga, Iowa State, Kansas State
9 Seeds: Purdue, Saint Louis, Connecticut, Alabama
10 Seeds: Harvard, West Virginia, Southern Miss, Virginia
11 Seeds: Colorado State, BYU, VCU, Long Beach State
12 Seeds: California, Xavier, South Florida, Texas, Drexel
13 Seeds: Seton Hall, Mississippi State, Colorado, Davidson, Belmont
14 Seeds: New Mexico State, South Dakota State, Montana, Ohio
15 Seeds: Loyola (MD), Detroit, Lehigh, LIU-Brooklyn
16 Seeds: UNC-Asheville, Norfolk State, Lamar, Vermont, Mississippi Valley State, Western Kentucky
Automatic bids: Vermont, Xavier, North Carolina, Belmont, Missouri, Louisville, Montana, UNC-Asheville, Michigan State, Long Beach State, VCU, Memphis, Detroit, Harvard, Loyola (MD), Ohio, Norfolk State, Creighton, New Mexico, LIU Brooklyn, Murray State, Colorado, Lehigh, Kentucky, Davidson, Lamar, Mississippi Valley State, Western Kentucky, South Dakota State, Saint Mary’s, New Mexico State.
Bids per conference: Big East (10), Big 12 (6), Big Ten (6), SEC (5), Mountain West (4), ACC (4), Atlantic 10 (3), West Coast (3), Conference USA (2), Missouri Valley (2), Colonial (2), Pac-12 (2).