NC State’s 2012 Recruiting Class Might Be Overrated, But It Doesn’t Matter…Posted by KCarpenter on November 16th, 2011
Last week, we talked about a survey of one hundred Division I coaches, where each was asked a variety of questions about their peers, specifically about their aptitude for recruiting. While it was an interesting glimpse into the world of reputations, the most intriguing tidbit had to do with NC State’s new head coach, Mark Gottfried. In many quarters, Gottfried was being hailed for already lining up one of the best recruiting classes in the nation, a remarkable feat for a new coach. With Rodney Purvis, T.J. Warren, and Tyler Lewis all lined up for the coming year, all seemed well in Raleigh.
Then of course, came the results of the survey in question, where Gottfried was named the third-most overrated recruiter in college basketball. This was interesting news, and I began to wonder what the coaches knew about Gottfried that the general public didn’t. It turns out that Gottfried might not actually be the issue, but rather the class that he has assembled. Buried in CBS Sports signing day coverage was an article where Goodman and Jeff Borzello answer a number of questions about next year’s incoming class. In a few separate instances, the two raised doubts and landed a few backhanded blows when talking about the Wolfpack’s recruits.
Borzello named Purvis the most overrated player in the class, despite later lauding him as the “best first recruit.” Goodman named NC State as having the best incoming backcourt, but threw in the tidbit that it was mainly because he felt no particular group of players stood out. He also added that he felt that all three of the Wolfpack’s incoming class were potentially overrated. These comments seem to indicate that perhaps the reason the coaches felt Gottfried was overrated as a recruiter was simply because the players he landed weren’t actually as good as had been reported.
Checking on the Recruiting Services Consensus Index(RSCI) ratings posted in September, it seemed that there were a number of outlier opinions with respect to each of these players. For Purvis, five out of six services rated him as somewhere between the #15 and #18 recruit in his class, while Rivals had Purvis ranked as #7. Similarly, for Warren five out of six services slotted him between #20 and #24, while MaxPreps placed him as #30. For Lewis, there was less consensus, with PrepStars ranking him #51 and MaxPreps ranking him #76. Seeing the variety of opinions for each of the players and assuming the worst, it seems possible NC State’s class may be somewhat overrated. It appears next to certain that Rivals has overrated Purvis, although no one seems to doubt that he’s a top twenty player.
That’s the crux of the issue for me: While the class that Gottfried assembled may not be as good as advertised, it still looks like he snagged three of the best hundred players in the country. If Purvis is the fifteenth-best instead of the seventh-best, does that really mean all that much for the long-term fortunes of the Wolfpack? Heck, it might even mean that he sticks around a little longer.