RTC Bracketology Update: Selection SundayPosted by zhayes9 on March 13th, 2011
Zach Hayes is RTC’s official bracketologist.
UPDATED: Sunday, 4:10 PM ET.
First 4 Byes: Illinois, Colorado, Penn State, Michigan.
Last Four In: Clemson, Virginia Tech, Alabama, Georgia.
First Four Out: Saint Mary’s, Southern California, Boston College, VCU.
S-Curve (italics indicate automatic bids)
- 1 Seeds: Kansas, Ohio State, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh
- 2 Seeds: Duke, San Diego State, North Carolina, Connecticut
- 3 Seeds: Florida, Texas, Louisville, Kentucky
- 4 Seeds: BYU, Purdue, Syracuse, Wisconsin
- 5 Seeds: St. John’s, West Virginia, Arizona, Vanderbilt
- 6 Seeds: Texas A&M, Kansas State, Cincinnati, Xavier
- 7 Seeds: Georgetown, Old Dominion, Missouri, Washington
- 8 Seeds: Utah State, Temple, George Mason, Tennessee
- 9 Seeds: UCLA, UNLV, Richmond, Gonzaga
- 10 Seeds: Florida State, Marquette, Villanova, Butler
- 11 Seeds: Michigan State, Illinois, Colorado, Penn State
- 12 Seeds: Memphis, Michigan, Clemson, Virginia Tech, Alabama, Georgia
- 13 Seeds: Belmont, Princeton, Oakland, Indiana State
- 14 Seeds: Bucknell, Morehead State, Wofford, Long Island
- 15 Seeds: Akron, Northern Colorado, St. Peter’s, Boston University
- 16 Seeds: UC-Santa Barbara, UNC-Asheville, Hampton, Arkansas Little-Rock, UT-San Antonio, Alabama State
- Despite Duke’s ACC Tournament title, in a head-to-head resume comparison with either Pittsburgh or Notre Dame, the Big East duo prevails. Two of Duke’s wins over NCAA Tournament teams came with Kyrie Irving. Duke has substantially less RPI top-25 and top-50 wins and their best road victory on the season is Maryland. Pittsburgh and Notre Dame finished 1-2 in the best conference in recent memory. I could see Duke get the final #1 just as they did last year over a Big East team (West Virginia), but if they do it’s the second straight year it’s undeserved.
- Kentucky moves up to a #3 seed with their SEC Tournament win. They’re playing at a very high level and the committee will have noticed, thrashing both Alabama and Florida. The Gators remain as a #3 seed with their commendable body of work.
- Richmond moves up to a #9 seed with their Atlantic 10 Tournament win. No bid stealer today. Georgia is my last team in the field.
- I have a hunch that St. Mary’s will sneak in over one of the ACC or SEC teams, but I can’t include them purely based on a feeling. Frankly, there’s no argument for St. Mary’s over Georgia. The only argument to leave Alabama out is their horrid non-conference. St. Mary’s has one win over the RPI top-50 and it came in November. That doesn’t cut it.
- Kansas is my #1 overall seed. It doesn’t really matter. They’ll go to the San Antonio region while Ohio State goes to Newark regardless.