Weekly Bracketology: 02.01.10

Posted by zhayes9 on February 1st, 2010

Zach Hayes is RTC’s  resident bracketologist.  He’ll regularly be out-scooping, out-thinking and out-shining Lunardi over the next two months.

Some quick bullet points regarding this week’s bracket:

  • Despite the loss at South Carolina, Kentucky remains a #1 seed but drops in the pecking order behind Kansas (#1 overall), Syracuse and Villanova. Kentucky still had some distance between them and the highest ranked #2 seed in Michigan State.
  • Georgetown looked like they would fall to a #3 seed with their blowout defeat the hands of Syracuse, but a big time rebound at home against Duke keeps the Hoyas on the second line. Despite the OT loss at home to Kansas, Kansas State reaches the #2 seed plateau. Remember they picked up a huge victory earlier in the week at Baylor.
  • Texas drops to the lowest mark they’ve been in weeks to a #3 seed. I had about six or seven teams vying for the final #3 seed after Texas, Purdue and West Virginia. Vanderbilt’s overall portfolio and strong RPI gives them the nod over the likes of BYU, Wisconsin, New Mexico and Baylor.
  • One at-large stealer this week: Arizona. The Wildcats knocked off California at home Sunday afternoon and earn the Pac-10 automatic bid with the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Bears. They received a #12 seed and would hypothetically keep their consecutive NCAA Tournament streak alive.
  • Keep in mind that the committee doesn’t factor in how many teams receive bids from a conference. Each team is judged on their own portfolio as if they were an independent. Nine Big East teams can occur if all of those nine teams deserve bids. With the Pac-10 pathetic and Big 10 disappointing, it could happen. Marquette and Louisville were two of my last teams to make the bracket and Connecticut not far behind.
  • Hope you guys enjoy my Houston bracket. It’s a dandy.

Automatic bids: Maine, Temple, Duke, Jacksonville, Kansas, Villanova, Weber State, Coastal Carolina, Pacific, Michigan State, George Mason, UAB, Butler, Cornell, Siena, Kent State, Morgan State, Northern Iowa, BYU, Robert Morris, Murray State, Arizona, Lehigh, Kentucky, Charleston, Sam Houston State, Jackson State, Oakland, Arkansas State, Gonzaga, New Mexico State.

Bids per conference: Big East (9), Big 12 (7), ACC (5), SEC (5), Atlantic 10 (5), Big 10 (4), Mountain West (3), Pac-10 (2), West Coast (2), Colonial (2).

Last Four In: Louisville, Richmond, Marquette, Florida.

Last Four Out: South Carolina, Charlotte, Maryland, Wichita State.

Next Four Out: Tulsa, North Carolina, Mississippi State, Illinois.

Next bracket: February 8.

zhayes9 (301 Posts)


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9 Responses to “Weekly Bracketology: 02.01.10”

  1. JP says:

    Northern Iowa over Duke in rd 2? I’ll take that bet.

  2. Howard says:

    Like Cornell at 10-deserving but not sure committee will see it that way

  3. RDM says:

    I love seeing that 5 spot next to the A10!

  4. Charles says:

    You people know that Charlotte did win AT Richmond and that Rhode Island wasn’t able to beat Temple AT HOME, unlike the Charlotte 49ers. And Dayton lost to SAINT JOSEPH’S!!!!!!!!

  5. Sean says:

    A K-State/KU rematch in Indy would be sweet

  6. D. King says:

    I don’t agree with Charlotte:
    3 top 50 wins(2 on the road), 1 of which a top 25 win.
    0 bad lossses.
    6-1 in A-10(6th overall conf.)

    They got to have a spot. I’d have them in ahead of Richmond & Lville for sure

    You have St. Mary’s at a 9, and a nice resume, but just 1 top 50 win. 6-1 in a crappy conference. That doesn’t compare to Charlotte.

    Siena at a 9 is high. They haven’t done anything but do well in an awful conference. They wouldn’t be a .500 team in the Big East, so why give them such a high seeding?

  7. zhayes9 says:

    I’m not quite ready to put Charlotte in the field. They don’t have the non-conf profiles of the other A-10 bubble teams (for example, Richmond beat Miss St, Missouri, ODU and Florida while Dayton has a string of close losses to elite teams). The bad losses by 30+ at Duke and GT stood out. They’re just 1-4 vs. RPI top 25 opponents. They’re close.

  8. D. King says:

    Thanks for the feedback.

    There’s plenty of teams with losing records against the top 25, even to that extent though. I don’t think we should penalize them for that. I do like you giving Richmond a bit more love than others out there, but I think St. Mary’s is like a Last 4 out

  9. zhayes9 says:

    Believe me, D. King, Charlotte is extremely close. Sweep this week vs. GW and Fordham and they’ll likely be there with other bubble teams (I’m sure) losing once.

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