NCAA Preview: Florida State Seminoles

Posted by rtmsf on March 18th, 2009

Florida State (#5, East, Boise pod)

vs. Wisconsin (#12)
Mar. 20 @ 9:55pm

Vegas Line: Florida St. -2.5

fsu-ncaa-graph

Thanks to Vegas Watch for providing these graphs that measure the moving average of a team’s spread (moving avg.) over time vs. the spread for each individual game (indiv).  If a team’s moving average is higher than zero, then Vegas currently has a higher opinion of them than Pomeroy, and vice versa.

General Profile

Location: Tallahassee, Florida
Conference: ACC, at large
Coach: Leonard Hamilton, 125-90 (as of 3/10)
08-09 Record: (25-9), 10-6)
Last 12 Games: 8-4
Best Win: 73-70, North Carolina, 3/14/2009
Worst Loss: 73-59, Northwestern, 12/3/08
Offensive Efficiency Rating: 105.3 [106]
Defensive Efficiency Rating: 88.0 [8]

Nuts n Bolts

Star Player: Toney Douglas – 20.8 ppg/3.0 apg
Unsung Hero: Toney Douglas – He could be an All-America candidate if he played at UNC or Duke, and has good reason for feeling left out after losing the ACC POY to Ty Lawson.
Potential NBA Draft Picks: None
Key Injuries: No injuries to report
Depth: 36.5% (#49)
Achilles Heel: Turnovers – the Seminoles are 290th in the nation when it comes to turnover percentage.
Will Make a Deep Run if: They take good care of the ball on offense. On defense, FSU could be a big problem for teams like Wake Forest and UConn that can’t, or don’t, shoot the three ball well – FSU’s defense is strongest when opponents are inside the arc.
Will Make an Early Exit if: Douglas goes cold – the other Seminoles are much better defenders than scorers.

NCAA History

Last Year Invited: 1998 – Round of 32
Streak: 1
Best NCAA Finish: 1972 – National Runner-Up
Historical Performance vs. Seed (1985-present): n/a

Other

Six Degrees to Detroit: Current Pistons Assistant Coach, Dave Cowens, is the highest drafted Seminole in NBA history, going 4th overall to the Celtics in the 1970 draft.
Distance to First Round: 2,432 miles.
School’s Claim to Fame: It isn’t surprising that FSU’s most famous alumni played football for the Seminoles. However, the fact that that alumni happens to be the mustachioed actor that your mom still swoons over, Burt Reynolds.
School Wishes it Could Forget: FSU wishes we would all forget the NCAA report that recently said 61 Seminole student-athletes from the football, baseball, softball, men’s and women’s basketball, men’s and women’s swimming, men’s and women’s track and field and men’s golf teams committed academic fraud during 2006 and 2007.
Prediction: FSU is coming off the school’s best showing ever in the ACC tournament, and could definitely take Wisconsin and then four-seed Xavier to make the Sweet 16. However, Toney Douglas & Friends would likely meet Pitt at that point, and although their big men could make things interesting for Blair, expect FSU to fall to Pitt in the Boston.

Major RTC stories: None.

Preview written by... Matt the Intern

rtmsf (3747 Posts)


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