Comments on: How Accurate are Preseason Polls? http://rushthecourt.net/2008/11/14/how-accurate-are-preseason-polls/ the ubiquitous college basketblog Fri, 19 Mar 2010 23:43:54 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: jkb4acc http://rushthecourt.net/2008/11/14/how-accurate-are-preseason-polls/comment-page-1/#comment-1090 jkb4acc Sat, 22 Nov 2008 19:58:16 +0000 http://rushthecourt.net/?p=2172#comment-1090 I did a statistical analysis for a graduate class several years ago. I used several team statistics (ft%, fg%, height, etc) to try and predict the number of wins in the ACC tourney. When using all the stats together, there was still only about a 30% correlation, basically the same as this analysis shows for polls. So there is some consistency here. And the stat that most accurately predicted number of wins in the ACC Tourey: free throw %. I did a statistical analysis for a graduate class several years ago. I used several team statistics (ft%, fg%, height, etc) to try and predict the number of wins in the ACC tourney. When using all the stats together, there was still only about a 30% correlation, basically the same as this analysis shows for polls. So there is some consistency here.

And the stat that most accurately predicted number of wins in the ACC Tourey: free throw %.

]]> By: rtmsf http://rushthecourt.net/2008/11/14/how-accurate-are-preseason-polls/comment-page-1/#comment-1088 rtmsf Mon, 17 Nov 2008 21:38:04 +0000 http://rushthecourt.net/?p=2172#comment-1088 Ben - good work there. It's not an exact science prognosticating teams, that's for sure, but it seems that at least at the top, it's a little easier than we thought. Keep up the good work. Ben – good work there. It’s not an exact science prognosticating teams, that’s for sure, but it seems that at least at the top, it’s a little easier than we thought. Keep up the good work.

]]> By: Ben http://rushthecourt.net/2008/11/14/how-accurate-are-preseason-polls/comment-page-1/#comment-1089 Ben Mon, 17 Nov 2008 21:00:43 +0000 http://rushthecourt.net/?p=2172#comment-1089 I conducted a similar exercise with the ACC a few weeks ago. http://www.dearolduva.com/basketball/virginia-basketball-odds-and-ends/ I conducted a similar exercise with the ACC a few weeks ago.

http://www.dearolduva.com/basketball/virginia-basketball-odds-and-ends/

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