I did a statistical analysis for a graduate class several years ago. I used several team statistics (ft%, fg%, height, etc) to try and predict the number of wins in the ACC tourney. When using all the stats together, there was still only about a 30% correlation, basically the same as this analysis shows for polls. So there is some consistency here.
And the stat that most accurately predicted number of wins in the ACC Tourey: free throw %.

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